I analyze macroeconomic issues from a fundamental perspective, and I analyze market behavior from a technical perspective. Original macroeconomic analysis can be found here and both macro analysis and commentary can be found on my Caps blog. If you like or appreciate my analysis, please add yourself to my Following List

Friday, June 10, 2011

June 10

Assuming my count is right (that I have correctly identified Minute [maybe Minuette] W), then we are near the bottoming range for Y. We have some good proportions taking place on substantial divergence on the 30 and 60 minute charts.

Thursday, June 9, 2011

June 9

Current thoughts:

Monday, June 6, 2011

June 6

No opinion on the short term count, other than the fact that it is corrective (and not some sort of half-baked leading diagonal with a < 50% retracement). The trend is down and I am waiting for the next bounce to try to put the waves in context.

Thursday, June 2, 2011

June 2

Current thoughts. What a mess.

Wednesday, June 1, 2011

June 1

Current thoughts. Honestly, I really have no idea what the short term count is. The strength of this down move was a surprise. You can see from yesterday's chart, I was expecting a pullback, but not this severe.

However, it looks very bad on the SPX and Financials (XLF), but the COMPQ and RUT seem to be holding well above last weeks support level.