I analyze macroeconomic issues from a fundamental perspective, and I analyze market behavior from a technical perspective. Original macroeconomic analysis can be found here and both macro analysis and commentary can be found on my Caps blog. If you like or appreciate my analysis, please add yourself to my Following List

Friday, November 16, 2012

Nov 16

I still think we are in the middle of this Intermediate Term correction and not near the end of it. Daily chart is still suggesting more downside if I am looking for the correct setup. The 60-minute system issued a buy this afternoon and we are very oversold for the short term. If the market is trying to stage a bounce here, it might try to retest the 200 DMA before continuing down:

Here is my current best estimate for how this wave is playing out, for anybody that cares:

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